By Anderson Ojwang
Junet Mohammed’s political path is similar to that of Kisumu East MP Shakeel Shabbir. The duo were nominated councilors and both rose to become the mayors of Migori and Kisumu respectively.
Interestingly, Shabbir is the Kisumu East MP, while Junet is the Member of Parliament for Suna East and a product of the late Raila Odinga’s politics of inclusion in Nyanza.
For Shabbir, he was first elected to parliament on an ODM ticket after defeating Gor Sungu in 2007 and has gone on to remain a significant player in Kisumu East politics.
In the 2017 and 2022 general elections, Shabbir contested on an independent ticket and defeated the ODM candidate Nicholas Oricho on both occasions.
In Kisumu East Constituency, Shabbir is not a pushover, and for the last 20 years he has built a political fortress in the area’s politics.
He commands more respect and following than even the natives by his brand of politics and is often referred to as wuon mogo (the owner of flour), which he donates to bereaved families in the constituency.
For Kisumu East, Shabbir is not a political pushover, and he has defied the strong ODM wave to claim his stake in the region’s politics. Even with the demise of Raila, the Kisumu East MP remains a man to beat in the 2027 general election.
Junet, just like Shabbir, became Raila’s blue-eyed boy and confidant and rose to the powerful post of ODM Director of Elections, where he flexed his political muscle.
“Baba Raila Odinga nurtured me and many of us in the politics of our country. From him we learnt a dear sense of love and patriotism. The torture in our hearts and the sorrow carried in this moment are indescribable,” he wrote in his condolence message.
Junet edged his way into Raila’s inner circle, and from Nyanza, Junet and Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga had the ear of Raila. For Raila, the duo became his dependable lieutenants, and this explains why they have remained close political pals.
They are currently the key architects and defenders of the broad-based government of President William Ruto within the ODM party.
In 2022, Junet was awarded the ODM direct nomination ticket and went ahead to win the seat easily by garnering 26,516 votes against Elias Okumu, who got 4,978, and Patrick Odipo’s 4,808.
The demise of Raila is likely to alter the political terrain of Nyanza, and major realignments are expected ahead of the 2027 general elections.
The death left several politicians orphaned, and that is why at the burial of Raila, Junet said, “ODM party, we will hold it high. We will keep it strong. ODM in 2027 will either form the government or it will be in a coalition that will form the government. But it will not be in a coalition that has been abusing Baba when he was alive. They now say we are political orphans of Baba.”
The question therefore is: will Junet have an easy ride in Suna East and retain his grip on the constituency in the post-Raila political realignment?
With the demise of Raila, several aspirants who feared the former Prime Minister’s weight and grip in the region have declared interest in the seat, with some being senior government officials.
Analysts argue that the absence of Raila presents a level playing ground and that the Raila factor will no longer be on the cards, and this could be worrying legislators in the current parliament.
Already, in the gubernatorial seat, it is a tripartite battle pitting the incumbent Ochilo Ayacko against MPs Mark Nyamita and Peter Masara.
This also complicates the equation for Junet in the 2027 elections regarding which side to align with, given that both enjoy wide support in the area.
A resident, one Paul Otieno, said the Suna East seat is up for grabs and the incumbent will have an uphill task defending it if the natives gang up to present a single candidate against him.
“We are in an interesting moment. It is in Migori County where it is in history that several leaders have been elected on other parties. With the absence of Raila in the 2027 election, it will not be a walk in the park for these MPs. We may end up with new MPs elected in Migori County,” he said.

